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XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
2 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold Up (100%) · Up at 99¢ · $56 held · ended Oct 25
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
Up
Consensus Traders
2
Up 100%
Total Value
$55.68
Combined PnL
$17.92
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 2 top traders (100%)2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up99%
Down1%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$55.68
Total Shares56
Combined PnL+$17.92
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $23.73 | $41.65 | +$17.92 | 68% 40651-18757 (59408) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $14.03 | $14.03 | +$0 | 93% 20107-1616 (21723) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance99.9%
99.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.09
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x6a17b582...5eac3e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792900500