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XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
2 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold Down (100%) · Down at 99¢ · $51 held · ended Oct 25
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
Down
Consensus Traders
2
Down 100%
Total Value
$51.07
Combined PnL
$1.32
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 2 top traders (100%)2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up1%
Down99%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$51.07
Total Shares51
Combined PnL+$1.32
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97.1¢ | $43.16 | $44.03 | +$0.87 | 93% 20107-1616 (21723) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $6.59 | $7.04 | +$0.45 | 68% 40651-18757 (59408) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance99.9%
99.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.09
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x2dc9e936...3cfd1e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792900200