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XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Oct 25
SIGNAL
💧
Weak
Consensus Traders
0
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$50.02
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up66%
Down34%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO BonereaperARB<$100 | Upavg 84.9¢ | $48.82 | $50.02 | +$1.2 | 68% 40651-18757 (59408) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 25.5¢ | $21.64 | $28.9 | +$7.26 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 84.9¢ | $27.18 | $21.12 | -$6.06 |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance68.5%
66.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.5¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$45.88
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
145.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1f2b58e7...aab70a
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792899900