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XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Oct 25
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
Down
Consensus Traders
1
Down 100%
Total Value
$39.85
Combined PnL
$7.27
Smart Money Signal
Down
1 of 1 top traders (100%)1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up45%
Down55%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$39.85
Total Shares61
Combined PnL+$7.27
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 46.6¢ | $32.58 | $39.85 | +$7.27 | 68% 40651-18757 (59408) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance57.7%
55.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.7¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$73.24
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
173.2
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x69df0da9...985e3a
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792899600