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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 67%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$2.45
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$1.69
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares11
Combined PnL-$0.76
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $6.69 | $5 | -$1.69 | 62% 17891-10911 (28802) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 81% 49799-11626 (61425) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 61% 13448-8476 (21924) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 76% 22235-6919 (29154) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 11442-9047 (20489) |
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$6.69
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.69
Record
62%
17891-10911 (28802)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
81%
49799-11626 (61425)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
61%
13448-8476 (21924)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
22235-6919 (29154)
HS
Hsilverbasher<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
11442-9047 (20489)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5021154d...cb1ccd
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1792889400