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XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Oct 25
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
Down
Consensus Traders
1
Down 100%
Total Value
$4.45
Combined PnL
$1
Smart Money Signal
Down
1 of 1 top traders (100%)1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up11%
Down89%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$4.45
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$1
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 wowitsamazing<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $3.45 | $4.45 | +$1 | 63% 9720-5674 (15394) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance90.6%
89.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$10.34
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
110.3
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x6390e2e9...f79fa5
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1792899900