Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Polina Iatcenko

8 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Alevtina Ibragimova (100%) · Alevtina Ibragimova at 100¢ · $12K held · ends Nov 1

Alevtina Ibragimova>99¢Polina Iatcenko<1¢Ends Sun, Nov 1, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

🔥

Strong

Alevtina Ibragimova

Consensus Traders

Alevtina Ibragimova 100%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$11.7K

Combined PnL

$158.19

Smart Money Entry

67.8¢ → 100¢

+47% since entry · 8 traders

Smart Money Signal

Alevtina Ibragimova

8 of 8 top traders (100%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Alevtina Ibragimova100%

Polina Iatcenko0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Alevtina Ibragimova8 traders

Total Value$4.3K

Total Shares6,327

Combined PnL+$158.19

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

9 traders

Top 2 hold 53%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Low

Score 15/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

100% of non-arb traders are on Alevtina Ibragimova. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 53% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleAlevtina Ibragimova 100% · 3

Aligned

sharpAlevtina Ibragimova 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrAlevtina Ibragimova 100% · 4

Aligned

Hand-pickedAlevtina Ibragimova 100% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Alevtina Ibragimova 100% · 7

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UP UpTheBluesARB<$100	Polina Iatcenkoavg 60.3¢	$12.2K	$7.3K	$-5.0K	68% 30682-14740 (45422)
└ Polina Iatcenko leg	Polina Iatcenkoavg 60.3¢	$9.6K	$5.4K	$-4.2K
└ Alevtina Ibragimova leg	Alevtina Ibragimovaavg 93.8¢	$2.7K	$1.9K	-$786.35
HO HomeRunHazard	Alevtina Ibragimovaavg 87¢	$3.1K	$2.3K	-$738.39	55% 11679-9574 (21253)
NA NatoAlfista	Alevtina Ibragimovaavg 44¢	$501.6	$752.4	+$250.8	65% 2682-1438 (4120)
VeryLucky888	Alevtina Ibragimovaavg 36¢	$179.99	$407.46	+$228.61	58% 31291-22609 (53900)
TH thestingsnake	Alevtina Ibragimovaavg 52.9¢	$269.34	$314.73	+$64.72	60% 3511-2386 (5897)
tradecraft	Alevtina Ibragimovaavg 31¢	$2.68	$265.43	+$262.75	52% 5479-5082 (10561)
BI BillBenter2026	Alevtina Ibragimovaavg 62¢	$67.17	$140.58	+$73.41	58% 16066-11724 (27790)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	Alevtina Ibragimovaavg 78.3¢	$92.25	$130.09	+$37.84	53% 12053-10832 (22885)
└ Polina Iatcenko leg	Polina Iatcenkoavg 8.9¢	$17.54	$67.14	+$49.6
└ Alevtina Ibragimova leg	Alevtina Ibragimovaavg 78.3¢	$74.71	$62.95	-$11.76
EF efntrick<$100	Alevtina Ibragimovaavg 44.7¢	$29.6	$56.83	+$17.17	48% 3434-3705 (7139)
RN1<$100	Alevtina Ibragimovaavg 72.4¢	$17.08	$16.21	-$0.87	55% 43011-35367 (78378)

UpTheBluesARB<$100

Polina Iatcenko

Invested

$12,249.99

Value

$7.3K

PnL

$-5.0K

Record

68%

30682-14740 (45422)

Both legs:

Polina Iatcenko$9,599.2160.3¢$-4.2K

Alevtina Ibragimova$2,650.7893.8¢-$786.35

HomeRunHazard

Alevtina Ibragimova

Invested

$3,057

Value

$2.3K

PnL

-$738.39

Record

55%

11679-9574 (21253)

NatoAlfista

Alevtina Ibragimova

Invested

$501.6

Value

$752.4

PnL

+$250.8

Record

65%

2682-1438 (4120)

VeryLucky888

Alevtina Ibragimova

Invested

$179.99

Value

$407.46

PnL

+$228.61

Record

58%

31291-22609 (53900)

thestingsnake

Alevtina Ibragimova

Invested

$269.34

Value

$314.73

PnL

+$64.72

Record

60%

3511-2386 (5897)

tradecraft

Alevtina Ibragimova

Invested

$2.68

Value

$265.43

PnL

+$262.75

Record

52%

5479-5082 (10561)

BillBenter2026

Alevtina Ibragimova

Invested

$67.17

Value

$140.58

PnL

+$73.41

Record

58%

16066-11724 (27790)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

Alevtina Ibragimova

Invested

$92.25

Value

$130.09

PnL

+$37.84

Record

53%

12053-10832 (22885)

Both legs:

Polina Iatcenko$17.548.9¢+$49.6

Alevtina Ibragimova$74.7178.3¢-$11.76

efntrick<$100

Alevtina Ibragimova

Invested

$29.6

Value

$56.83

PnL

+$17.17

Record

48%

3434-3705 (7139)

RN1<$100

Alevtina Ibragimova

Invested

$17.08

Value

$16.21

PnL

-$0.87

Record

55%

43011-35367 (78378)

Smart Money Signal

Alevtina Ibragimova

8 of 8 top traders (100%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

9 traders

Top 2 hold 53%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Low

Score 15/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

100% of non-arb traders are on Alevtina Ibragimova. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 53% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleAlevtina Ibragimova 100% · 3

Aligned

sharpAlevtina Ibragimova 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrAlevtina Ibragimova 100% · 4

Aligned

Hand-pickedAlevtina Ibragimova 100% · 3

Aligned

Top 1000Alevtina Ibragimova 100% · 7

Aligned

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Alevtina Ibragimova wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.