Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Mai Hontama vs Maya Joint

9 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold Maya Joint (82%) · Maya Joint at 95¢ · $14K held · ends Nov 1

Mai Hontama6¢Maya Joint94¢Ends Sun, Nov 1, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

🔥

Strong

Maya Joint

Consensus Traders

Maya Joint 82%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$13.6K

Combined PnL

$1.2K

Smart Money Entry

64.9¢ → 94.5¢

+46% since entry · 9 traders

Smart Money Signal

Maya Joint

9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Mai Hontama6%

Maya Joint95%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Maya Joint9 traders

Total Value$9.1K

Total Shares11,524

Combined PnL+$763.99

Mai Hontama2 traders

Total Value$1.1K

Total Shares2,595

Combined PnL+$387.72

Maya Joint — 82%Mai Hontama — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO HomeRunHazard	Maya Jointavg 76.1¢	$3.2K	$3.3K	+$150.32	55% 11295-9229 (20524)
UP UpTheBluesARB<$100	Mai Hontamaavg 42.3¢	$5.9K	$3.0K	$-2.9K	68% 30394-14619 (45013)
└ Maya Joint leg	Maya Jointavg 75.2¢	$1.7K	$2.1K	+$355.18
└ Mai Hontama leg	Mai Hontamaavg 42.3¢	$4.2K	$944.37	$-3.3K
RN1	Maya Jointavg 55¢	$1.5K	$1.9K	+$413.48	55% 42737-35083 (77820)
CH chiefphi	Maya Jointavg 66.7¢	$1.8K	$1.6K	-$235.66	52% 53-49 (102)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Maya Jointavg 55¢	$1.0K	$1.5K	+$477.35	53% 11949-10754 (22703)
tradecraftCTR	Mai Hontamaavg 27.2¢	$647.31	$999.18	+$351.87	52% 5450-5048 (10498)
TH thestingsnakeARB<$100	Mai Hontamaavg 32.3¢	$1.4K	$405.76	-$122.01	60% 3510-2386 (5896)
└ Maya Joint leg	Maya Jointavg 63.1¢	$186.16	$246.33	+$81.85
└ Mai Hontama leg	Mai Hontamaavg 32.3¢	$311.88	$159.44	-$203.86
NA NatoAlfista	Maya Jointavg 56¢	$332.36	$344.23	+$11.87	65% 2610-1401 (4011)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846	Maya Jointavg 74¢	$184.02	$144.23	-$39.79	63% 22274-13133 (35407)
EF efntrick	Maya Jointavg 61.3¢	$94.19	$111.98	+$17.79	48% 3428-3701 (7129)
VeryLucky888	Maya Jointavg 73.9¢	$126.65	$98.58	-$26.96	58% 31054-22396 (53450)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Mai Hontamaavg 25.4¢	$54.95	$90.8	+$35.85	60% 1146-775 (1921)
PA pauleta23<$100	Maya Jointavg 84.7¢	$39.3	$34.89	-$4.41	71% 16942-6806 (23748)

HomeRunHazard

Maya Joint

Invested

$3,173.06

Value

$3.3K

PnL

+$150.32

Record

55%

11295-9229 (20524)

UpTheBluesARB<$100

Mai Hontama

Invested

$5,944.53

Value

$3.0K

PnL

$-2.9K

Record

68%

30394-14619 (45013)

Both legs:

Maya Joint$1,744.1575.2¢+$355.18

Mai Hontama$4,200.3842.3¢$-3.3K

RN1

Maya Joint

Invested

$1,491.38

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$413.48

Record

55%

42737-35083 (77820)

chiefphi

Maya Joint

Invested

$1,805.14

Value

$1.6K

PnL

-$235.66

Record

52%

53-49 (102)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Maya Joint

Invested

$1,044.63

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$477.35

Record

53%

11949-10754 (22703)

tradecraftCTR

Mai Hontama

Invested

$647.31

Value

$999.18

PnL

+$351.87

Record

52%

5450-5048 (10498)

thestingsnakeARB<$100

Mai Hontama

Invested

$1,434.77

Value

$405.76

PnL

-$122.01

Record

60%

3510-2386 (5896)

Both legs:

Maya Joint$186.1663.1¢+$81.85

Mai Hontama$311.8832.3¢-$203.86

NatoAlfista

Maya Joint

Invested

$332.36

Value

$344.23

PnL

+$11.87

Record

65%

2610-1401 (4011)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Maya Joint

Invested

$184.02

Value

$144.23

PnL

-$39.79

Record

63%

22274-13133 (35407)

efntrick

Maya Joint

Invested

$94.19

Value

$111.98

PnL

+$17.79

Record

48%

3428-3701 (7129)

VeryLucky888

Maya Joint

Invested

$126.65

Value

$98.58

PnL

-$26.96

Record

58%

31054-22396 (53450)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Mai Hontama

Invested

$54.95

Value

$90.8

PnL

+$35.85

Record

60%

1146-775 (1921)

pauleta23<$100

Maya Joint

Invested

$39.3

Value

$34.89

PnL

-$4.41

Record

71%

16942-6806 (23748)

Smart Money Signal

Maya Joint

9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Maya Joint wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance95.7%

94.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$4.48

Max Loss

-$100.00

104.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.