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Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?
2 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold No (100%) · No at 80¢ · $8K held · ends Oct 25
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
No
Consensus Traders
2
No 100%
Total Value
$8.2K
Combined PnL
-$526.61
Smart Money Entry
82.5¢ → 80¢
-3% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 2 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes20%
No80%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$8.2K
Total Shares10,534
Combined PnL-$526.61
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN anoin123 | Noavg 82.5¢ | $8.4K | $7.9K | -$511.78 | 46% 427-495 (922) |
HE HerrieDavis | Noavg 81¢ | $300.36 | $296.65 | -$14.83 | 47% 1705-1905 (3610) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance81.6%
80.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$22.53
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
122.5
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x287fac28...2a9970
Slug
will-voter-turnout-in-the-2026-serbian-parliamentary-election-be-70-or-more