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Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?
1 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold No (50%) · No at 62¢ · $9K held · ends Nov 2
SIGNAL
💧
Weak
No
Consensus Traders
2
No 50%
Total Value
$9.4K
Combined PnL
$27.62
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 2 top traders (50%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes39%
No62%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$6.4K
Total Shares10,483
Combined PnL-$901.55
Yes1 trader
Total Value$2.9K
Total Shares9,029
Combined PnL+$929.16
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DumplingBMF | Noavg 76.6¢ | $8.0K | $6.4K | -$901.55 | 68% 1743-808 (2551) |
WI WiretransferxyzCTR | Yesavg 22.2¢ | $2.0K | $2.9K | +$929.16 | 54% 592-503 (1095) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance63.7%
61.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$57.06
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
157.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xceaeffa8...91369e
Slug
will-vitality-win-the-pgl-masters-bucharest-2026