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Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
Yes
Consensus Traders
1
Yes 100%
Total Value
$6.3K
Combined PnL
-$488.66
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 1 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes79%
No21%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$6.3K
Total Shares8,008
Combined PnL-$488.66
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Seutervoinen | Yes | $6.3K | $6.3K | -$488.66 | 83% 237-49 (286) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance80.6%
79.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$24.01
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
124.0
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xf4ad902e...1d4f27
Slug
will-the-republican-party-win-the-md-01-house-seat