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Will the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 4
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
Yes
Consensus Traders
1
Yes 100%
Total Value
$7.8K
Combined PnL
$85.2
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 1 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes97%
No3%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$7.8K
Total Shares8,050
Combined PnL+$85.2
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH thoodr | Yesavg 95.7¢ | $7.7K | $7.8K | +$85.2 | 96% 529-23 (552) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance97.9%
96.8¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$2.16
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
102.2
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe0a473bd...c9321d
Slug
will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ny-26-house-seat