Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?

2 of 3 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (67%) · Yes at 94¢ · $11K held · ends Nov 4

Yes94¢No6¢Ends Wed, Nov 4, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Yes

Consensus Traders

Yes 67%

Total Value

$11.2K

Combined PnL

$999.67

Smart Money Entry

85.1¢ → 93.5¢

+10% since entry · 2 traders

Smart Money Signal

Yes

2 of 3 top traders (67%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes94%

No7%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes2 traders

Total Value$11.2K

Total Shares11,967

Combined PnL+$1.0K

No1 trader

Total Value$13.52

Total Shares208

Combined PnL-$3.12

Yes — 67%No — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
scottilicious	Yesavg 85.9¢	$9.3K	$10.1K	+$822.22	82% 939-201 (1140)
0X 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836	Yesavg 78.3¢	$928.85	$1.1K	+$180.58	59% 171-121 (292)
PA pantomimeCTR<$100	Noavg 8¢	$16.63	$13.52	-$3.12	52% 1276-1188 (2464)

scottilicious

Yes

Invested

$9,257.74

Value

$10.1K

PnL

+$822.22

Record

82%

939-201 (1140)

0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836

Yes

Invested

$928.85

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$180.58

Record

59%

171-121 (292)

pantomimeCTR<$100

Invested

$16.63

Value

$13.52

PnL

-$3.12

Record

52%

1276-1188 (2464)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

2 of 3 top traders (67%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Yes wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance94.7%

93.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$5.59

Max Loss

-$100.00

105.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.