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Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?
5 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold No (100%) · No at 60¢ · $1K held · ends Dec 31
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
No
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$1.4K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 5 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes40%
No60%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance62.0%
60.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Finance 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$61.42
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
161.4
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x59be5450...67608f
Slug
will-the-30-year-treasury-yield-dip-below-5pt10-before-2027