Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
5 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold No (100%) · No at 95¢ · $10K held · ends Jan 1, 2027
⚡
Medium
No
5
No 100%
$10.0K
$1.1K
84.2¢ → 94.5¢
+12% since entry · 5 traders
Smart Money Signal
5 of 5 top traders (100%)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Signal Intelligence
Momentum
Flat
+0 pts consensus
Breadth
5 traders
Top 2 hold 79%
Freshness
Late
253h old
Late Entry
High
Score 90/100
Flip Quality
Clean
0 consensus flips
100% of non-arb traders are on No. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 79% of that side's value.
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DF DFV2 | Noavg 84.1¢ | $3.6K | $4.0K | +$438.37 | 91% 138-14 (152) |
OE oegdatam | Noavg 90.4¢ | $3.8K | $3.9K | +$171.52 | 86% 103-17 (120) |
PH phdcapital | Noavg 63¢ | $720.63 | $1.3K | +$421.92 | 93% 241-17 (258) |
X6 x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 | Noavg 95¢ | $607.83 | $604.66 | -$3.18 | 51% 589-566 (1155) |
EL Elias.Thornwell | Noavg 68.9¢ | $160.01 | $218.92 | +$58.25 | 80% 10078-2569 (12647) |
Invested
$3,554.93
Value
$4.0K
PnL
+$438.37
Record
91%
138-14 (152)
Invested
$3,765.52
Value
$3.9K
PnL
+$171.52
Record
86%
103-17 (120)
Invested
$720.63
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$421.92
Record
93%
241-17 (258)
Invested
$607.83
Value
$604.66
PnL
-$3.18
Record
51%
589-566 (1155)
Invested
$160.01
Value
$218.92
PnL
+$58.25
Record
80%
10078-2569 (12647)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
94.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.