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Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 1, 2027
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
No
Consensus Traders
1
No 100%
Total Value
$1.2K
Combined PnL
$123.03
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 1 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes1%
No99%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$1.2K
Total Shares1,178
Combined PnL+$123.03
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x38d5a13ef8e32d5e5a808ceba52d6ac78d4c063c | Noavg 88.5¢ | $1.0K | $1.2K | +$123.03 | 66% 497-257 (754) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance99.9%
99.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Culture 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.10
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x5244e824...a76e53
Slug
will-shohei-ohtani-win-the-2026-national-league-mvp-award