Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?

1 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (50%) · Yes at 95¢ · $8K held · ends Nov 7

Yes95¢No5¢Ends Sat, Nov 7, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Yes

Consensus Traders

Yes 50%

Total Value

$8.3K

Combined PnL

$1.1K

Smart Money Signal

Yes

1 of 2 top traders (50%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes95%

No6%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes1 trader

Total Value$8.2K

Total Shares8,646

Combined PnL+$1.1K

No1 trader

Total Value$56.4

Total Shares1,128

Combined PnL-$11.2

Yes — 50%No — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
ST Stonktrader	Yesavg 82.1¢	$7.1K	$8.2K	+$1.1K	74% 121-43 (164)
viniiCTR<$100	Noavg 6¢	$67.6	$56.4	-$11.2	74% 2393-862 (3255)

Stonktrader

Yes

Invested

$7,095.16

Value

$8.2K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

74%

121-43 (164)

viniiCTR<$100

Invested

$67.6

Value

$56.4

PnL

-$11.2

Record

74%

2393-862 (3255)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

1 of 2 top traders (50%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Yes wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance95.7%

94.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$4.52

Max Loss

-$100.00

104.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.