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Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Sep 23, 2028
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
No
Consensus Traders
1
No 100%
Total Value
$8.0K
Combined PnL
$607.93
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 1 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes21%
No80%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$8.0K
Total Shares10,097
Combined PnL+$607.93
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 norrisfan | Noavg 72¢ | $7.3K | $8.0K | +$607.93 | 43% 452-597 (1049) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance81.1%
79.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$23.26
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
123.3
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x074f5988...e7dd4d
Slug
will-pauline-hanson-be-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election-20260610170605302