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Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?
4 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (80%) · Yes at 98¢ · $9K held · ended Oct 5
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
Yes
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 80%
Total Value
$9.3K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 5 top traders (80%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes98%
No2%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance99.5%
98.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.53
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.5
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xaa06d447...b47d90
Slug
will-mailza-assis-win-the-2026-acre-gubernatorial-election