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Smart money holds the underdog side
Most tracked traders hold Yes, while the market favors No (52%). 1 of 2 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.
Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?
1 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (50%) · Yes at 48¢ · $8K held · ends Nov 29
SIGNAL
🔄
Contrarian
Yes
Consensus Traders
2
Yes 50%
Total Value
$7.7K
Combined PnL
$366.38
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 2 top traders (50%)Underdog side (market favors No 52%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes48%
No52%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$7.6K
Total Shares15,000
Combined PnL+$376.01
No1 trader
Total Value$96.28
Total Shares193
Combined PnL-$9.63
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027CTR | Yesavg 48¢ | $7.2K | $7.6K | +$376.01 | 58% 721-530 (1251) |
MP mpyh | Noavg 55¢ | $23.4 | $96.28 | -$9.63 | 66% 908-463 (1371) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance50.2%
48.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$99.01
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
199.0
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x563a041f...ec71d3
Slug
will-genptg-make-the-worlds-2026-grand-final