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Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?
2 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold No (100%) · No at 99¢ · $9K held · ends Nov 1
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
No
Consensus Traders
2
No 100%
Total Value
$9.5K
Combined PnL
$847.75
Smart Money Entry
90.8¢ → 98.9¢
+9% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 2 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes1%
No99%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$9.5K
Total Shares9,537
Combined PnL+$847.75
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Noavg 89.8¢ | $7.7K | $8.5K | +$840.89 | 68% 776-372 (1148) |
0X 0x834D057bAf532280B0129C302AC4fd2AA2444eB9-1765991009868 | Noavg 99¢ | $989.64 | $989 | +$6.86 | 69% 179-80 (259) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance99.9%
98.9¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.09
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x8c1d01fb...fa18b5
Slug
will-ethereum-reach-3400-in-october-2026