Will Ethereum reach $2,500 October 19-25?
4 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold No (100%) · No at 98¢ · $11K held · ends Oct 26
⚡
Medium
No
4
No 100%
$10.5K
$871.53
89.9¢ → 98¢
+9% since entry · 4 traders
Smart Money Signal
4 of 4 top traders (100%)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GE getbipped | Noavg 86.6¢ | $5.0K | $5.6K | +$659.53 | 48% 129-138 (267) |
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Noavg 94.2¢ | $2.2K | $2.3K | +$88.22 | 68% 776-372 (1148) |
TO Tokor | Noavg 93¢ | $1.9K | $1.8K | +$93.1 | 62% 381-233 (614) |
SH Sharky6999 | Noavg 93.8¢ | $748.02 | $778.7 | +$30.68 | 98% 5384-128 (5512) |
Invested
$4,988.36
Value
$5.6K
PnL
+$659.53
Record
48%
129-138 (267)
Invested
$2,185.35
Value
$2.3K
PnL
+$88.22
Record
68%
776-372 (1148)
Invested
$1,880.72
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$93.1
Record
62%
381-233 (614)
Invested
$748.02
Value
$778.7
PnL
+$30.68
Record
98%
5384-128 (5512)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
98.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.