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smellyEllieYes
CosmicCedar<$100Yes
-Dominus-<$100Yes
Istaroth<$100YesYes
2B9SCTR<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 24, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$1.5K
Combined PnL
$25.3
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares1,542
Combined PnL+$25.3
No1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 83%No — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
smellyEllie | Yesavg 95¢ | $1.6K | $1.5K | +$25.3 | 50% 852-865 (1717) |
CosmicCedar<$100 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 615-437 (1052) |
-Dominus-<$100 | Yesavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 248-126 (374) |
Istaroth<$100 | Yesavg 91.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 263-192 (455) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Yesavg 95.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 12682-22243 (34925) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 17% 3032-14634 (17666) |
smellyEllieInvested
$1,579.31
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$25.3
Record
50%
852-865 (1717)
CosmicCedar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
615-437 (1052)
-Dominus-<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
248-126 (374)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
263-192 (455)
AJ
AJSV<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
12682-22243 (34925)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
17%
3032-14634 (17666)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6a306bc7...47fcab
Slug
will-donald-trump-publicly-insult-someone-on-october-24-2026-20261001004229017