Back to Markets
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?
2 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold No (100%) · No at 81¢ · $663 held · ends Jan 1, 2027
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
No
Consensus Traders
2
No 100%
Total Value
$663.23
Combined PnL
$1.23
Smart Money Entry
80.3¢ → 80.5¢
+0% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 2 top traders (100%)1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes20%
No81%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$663.23
Total Shares821
Combined PnL+$1.23
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 alanhutton | Noavg 80.3¢ | $649.66 | $651.02 | +$1.36 | 70% 300-131 (431) |
 Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | $12.34 | $12.21 | -$0.12 | 58% 263-194 (457) |
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance82.3%
80.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$21.57
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
121.6
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xc07dd495...4df013
Slug
will-chainlink-reach-20-by-december-31-2026