Back to Markets
YesYesNo
2B9SCTR<$100YesNo
UbuntuTradingCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$6.96
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares216
Combined PnL-$6.96
No2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 71%No — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HourglassCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.2¢ | $4.28 | — | -$4.28 | 79% 8279-2261 (10540) |
0X 0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.2¢ | $2.68 | — | -$2.68 | 65% 4141-2188 (6329) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 80% 10068-2564 (12632) |
2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 17% 3032-14634 (17666) |
IN influenz.eth<$100 | Noavg 99.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 9100-12693 (21793) |
UbuntuTradingCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 58% 2939-2097 (5036) |
CR cry.eth2CTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 42% 9091-12760 (21851) |
HO
HourglassCTR<$100Invested
$4.28
Value
—
PnL
-$4.28
Record
79%
8279-2261 (10540)
0X
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060CTR<$100Invested
$2.68
Value
—
PnL
-$2.68
Record
65%
4141-2188 (6329)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
80%
10068-2564 (12632)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
17%
3032-14634 (17666)
IN
influenz.eth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
9100-12693 (21793)
UbuntuTradingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
2939-2097 (5036)
CR
cry.eth2CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
9091-12760 (21851)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xb4c20e4b...4b3646
Slug
will-cf-montral-win-the-2026-mls-cup