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Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
1 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold No (50%) · No at 82¢ · $8K held · ends Jun 30, 2027
SIGNAL
💧
Weak
No
Consensus Traders
2
No 50%
Total Value
$7.7K
Combined PnL
$433.59
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 2 top traders (50%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes18%
No82%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$7.4K
Total Shares8,169
Combined PnL+$484.18
Yes1 trader
Total Value$259.2
Total Shares1,440
Combined PnL-$50.59
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754 | Noavg 84.6¢ | $6.9K | $7.4K | +$484.18 | — |
 PaddyAlphaCTR | Yesavg 13.5¢ | $221.4 | $259.2 | -$50.59 | 60% 966-638 (1604) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance83.0%
82.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + no taker fee. Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$20.48
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
120.5
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe3d75ecd...7a4c4a
Slug
will-bytedance-be-added-to-the-chinese-military-companies-list-by-june-30-2027-20260706225129416