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Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?
2 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold No (100%) · No at 79¢ · $14K held · ends Jan 1, 2027
SIGNAL
🔥
Strong
No
Consensus Traders
2
No 100%
Total Value
$14.2K
Combined PnL
$2.5K
Smart Money Entry
66.9¢ → 78.5¢
+17% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 2 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes22%
No79%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$14.2K
Total Shares17,583
Combined PnL+$2.5K
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance80.6%
78.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$24.01
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
124.0
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x2f7528fa...f01d40
Slug
will-bitcoin-hit-100k-by-december-31-2026