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Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold No (100%) · No at 100¢ · $7K held · ends Jan 1, 2027
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
No
Consensus Traders
2
No 100%
Total Value
$7.4K
Combined PnL
$242.94
Smart Money Entry
96.3¢ → 99.7¢
+3% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 2 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$7.4K
Total Shares7,466
Combined PnL+$242.94
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 justdance | Noavg 96.2¢ | $7.0K | $7.2K | +$241 | 49% 1083-1117 (2200) |
X6 x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 | Noavg 98.5¢ | $190.49 | $192.43 | +$1.94 | 51% 589-566 (1155) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance99.9%
99.7¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.09
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xe681a632...cf3469
Slug
will-bitcoin-dip-to-5000-by-december-31-2026-jy3n-991-141-345-117-196-482-674-487-176-555