Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
5 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (100%) · Yes at 59¢ · $4K held · ends Dec 31, 2027
⚡
Medium
Yes
5
Yes 100%
$3.8K
-$216.53
62¢ → 59¢
-5% since entry · 5 traders
Smart Money Signal
5 of 5 top traders (100%)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Signal Intelligence
Momentum
Flat
+0 pts consensus
Breadth
5 traders
Top 2 hold 51%
Freshness
Late
480h old
Late Entry
Medium
Score 50/100
Flip Quality
Choppy
3 consensus flips
100% of non-arb traders are on Yes. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 51% of that side's value.
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GL Gladius7 | Yesavg 56.2¢ | $29 | $1.0K | +$25.05 | 46% 78-90 (168) |
 aenews2 | Yesavg 64¢ | $981.01 | $904.37 | -$76.64 | 60% 1737-1151 (2888) |
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73 | Yesavg 60.2¢ | $708.07 | $693.9 | -$14.18 | 51% 104-98 (202) |
HE HerrieDavis | Yesavg 67¢ | $745.35 | $656.36 | -$89 | 47% 1705-1905 (3610) |
BI BikesAreTheBikes | Yesavg 66¢ | $582.35 | $520.59 | -$61.76 | 40% 1734-2631 (4365) |
Invested
$29
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$25.05
Record
46%
78-90 (168)
aenews2Invested
$981.01
Value
$904.37
PnL
-$76.64
Record
60%
1737-1151 (2888)
Invested
$708.07
Value
$693.9
PnL
-$14.18
Record
51%
104-98 (202)
Invested
$745.35
Value
$656.36
PnL
-$89
Record
47%
1705-1905 (3610)
Invested
$582.35
Value
$520.59
PnL
-$61.76
Record
40%
1734-2631 (4365)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
59.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.