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UpUp
UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpUpDownDown Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$243.89
Combined PnL
-$0.12
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$100.89
Total Shares101
Combined PnL+$6.59
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares26
Combined PnL-$6.7
Up β 60%Down β 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 73.7Β’ | $138.27 | $143 | +$4.73 | 56% 31133-24033 (55166) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 73.7Β’ | $105.46 | $143 | +$37.54 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 68.4Β’ | $32.81 | β | -$32.81 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 69.5Β’ | $51.85 | $55 | +$3.15 | 52% 5435-5070 (10505) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 87.9Β’ | $21.8 | $24.81 | +$3.01 | 62% 38052-23626 (61678) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 89.5Β’ | $31.63 | $21.08 | +$0.43 | β |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 17Β’ | $1.62 | β | -$1.62 | 62% 17924-10923 (28847) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 30.6Β’ | $5.08 | β | -$5.08 | 81% 49817-11645 (61462) |
UN
uninformedflowwARB<$100Invested
$138.27
Value
$143
PnL
+$4.73
Record
56%
31133-24033 (55166)
Both legs:
Up$105.4673.7Β’+$37.54
Down$32.8168.4Β’-$32.81
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$51.85
Value
$55
PnL
+$3.15
Record
52%
5435-5070 (10505)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$21.8
Value
$24.81
PnL
+$3.01
Record
62%
38052-23626 (61678)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$31.63
Value
$21.08
PnL
+$0.43
Record
β
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.62
Value
β
PnL
-$1.62
Record
62%
17924-10923 (28847)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$5.08
Value
β
PnL
-$5.08
Record
81%
49817-11645 (61462)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x48be2dc8...3326ac
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1792900800