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Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold Down (100%) · Down at 99¢ · $336 held · ended Oct 25
SIGNAL
⚡
Medium
Down
Consensus Traders
2
Down 100%
Total Value
$335.6
Combined PnL
$16.49
Smart Money Entry
94.1¢ → 99¢
+5% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 2 top traders (100%)1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up1%
Down99%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$335.6
Total Shares339
Combined PnL+$16.49
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $273.42 | $276.21 | +$2.79 | 93% 20107-1616 (21723) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 76.2¢ | $45.69 | $59.39 | +$13.7 | 52% 5509-5111 (10620) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance99.9%
99.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$0.09
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
100.1
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x3ae6d60a...67ec5b
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1792899000