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Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-25?
2 of 3 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (67%) · Yes at 81¢ · $16K held · ends Oct 25
SIGNAL
💧
Weak
Yes
Consensus Traders
3
Yes 67%
Total Value
$15.9K
Combined PnL
-$99.1
Smart Money Entry
80¢ → 80.5¢
+1% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 3 top traders (67%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes81%
No20%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$15.9K
Total Shares20,011
Combined PnL-$100.09
No1 trader
Total Value$40.6
Total Shares198
Combined PnL+$0.99
Yes — 67%No — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NO notgoodluck | Yesavg 80¢ | $16.0K | $15.9K | -$100 | 62% 201-124 (325) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Noavg 20¢ | $39.61 | $40.6 | +$0.99 | 58% 1251-901 (2152) |
TH thatsabing0<$100 | Yesavg 80.4¢ | $8.78 | $8.74 | -$0.09 | 92% 2279-197 (2476) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance82.3%
80.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$21.57
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
121.6
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xd1afe18a...e1ae7f
Slug
por-spo-acv-2026-10-25-spo