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Optimus-<$100NoYesYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?
Resolved No. 20% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$14.59
Combined PnL
$3.06
Smart Money Signal
No
1 of 5 top traders (20%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$14.59
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$3.06
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 20%Yes — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Optimus-<$100 | Noavg 79¢ | $11.53 | $14.59 | +$3.06 | 61% 1181-748 (1929) |
LI lissartterCTR<$100 | Yesavg 29¢ | — | — | +$0 | 44% 4848-6180 (11028) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 6398-3378 (9776) |
HE HerrieDavisCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 1700-1900 (3600) |
AJ AJSVCTR<$100 | Yesavg 22¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 12682-22243 (34925) |
Optimus-<$100Invested
$11.53
Value
$14.59
PnL
+$3.06
Record
61%
1181-748 (1929)
LI
lissartterCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
44%
4848-6180 (11028)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
6398-3378 (9776)
HE
HerrieDavisCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
1700-1900 (3600)
AJ
AJSVCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
12682-22243 (34925)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc1e54b1f...10abdd
Slug
paris-curfew-effectively-lifted-by-october-24-2026