Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was No β but Yes won instead.
Will Sportivo Trinidense win on 2026-10-24?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
9
No 71%
$1.0K
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() oieshfn345CTR | Noavg 75.8Β’ | $2.5K | $812 | -$707.47 | 58% 1429-1056 (2485) |
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR | Noavg 71Β’ | $249.97 | $175 | +$71.02 | 54% 13352-11254 (24606) |
US User7429<$100 | Yesavg 77Β’ | $11.9 | $15.45 | +$3.55 | 57% 5673-4268 (9941) |
![]() tradecraft<$100 | Yesavg 26Β’ | $3.38 | $13 | +$9.62 | 52% 5447-5039 (10486) |
![]() HRTradingCTR<$100 | Noavg 84Β’ | $9.15 | $9 | -$0.15 | 62% 985-601 (1586) |
![]() VeryLucky888 | Yesavg 29Β’ | $129 | $0.01 | -$4.11 | 58% 30927-22305 (53232) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Noavg 70.6Β’ | $666.08 | β | -$666.08 | 52% 15933-14459 (30392) |
VA Vampiro1CTR<$100 | Noavg 52.9Β’ | $20 | β | +$9.84 | 75% 2292-754 (3046) |
RO Rocko33CTR<$100 | Noavg 72Β’ | $27.78 | β | -$20 | 65% 839-459 (1298) |
oieshfn345CTRInvested
$2,494.34
Value
$812
PnL
-$707.47
Record
58%
1429-1056 (2485)
Invested
$249.97
Value
$175
PnL
+$71.02
Record
54%
13352-11254 (24606)
Invested
$11.9
Value
$15.45
PnL
+$3.55
Record
57%
5673-4268 (9941)
tradecraft<$100Invested
$3.38
Value
$13
PnL
+$9.62
Record
52%
5447-5039 (10486)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$9.15
Value
$9
PnL
-$0.15
Record
62%
985-601 (1586)
VeryLucky888Invested
$129
Value
$0.01
PnL
-$4.11
Record
58%
30927-22305 (53232)
Invested
$666.08
Value
β
PnL
-$666.08
Record
52%
15933-14459 (30392)
Invested
$20
Value
β
PnL
+$9.84
Record
75%
2292-754 (3046)
Invested
$27.78
Value
β
PnL
-$20
Record
65%
839-459 (1298)
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