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Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?
3 of 3 top Polymarket traders hold No (100%) · No at 72¢ · $9K held · ends Nov 3
SIGNAL
🔥
Strong
No
Consensus Traders
3
No 100%
Total Value
$9.2K
Combined PnL
$1.0K
Smart Money Entry
64.7¢ → 72.5¢
+12% since entry · 3 traders
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 3 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes28%
No72%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$9.2K
Total Shares12,869
Combined PnL+$1.0K
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 alanhutton | Noavg 61.8¢ | $4.3K | $5.1K | +$750.86 | 70% 300-131 (431) |
BE Beyonddream | Noavg 68.4¢ | $2.2K | $2.8K | +$200.17 | 62% 175-109 (284) |
 Nooserac | Noavg 68¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$80.38 | 52% 5182-4766 (9948) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance74.5%
72.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$34.28
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
134.3
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x95273f17...10977d
Slug
over-60m-committed-to-the-1w-public-sale