Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

2 of 3 top Polymarket traders hold No (67%) · No at 94¢ · $9K held · ends Nov 3

Yes6¢No94¢Ends Tue, Nov 3, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Consensus Traders

No 67%

Total Value

$8.7K

Combined PnL

$217.73

Smart Money Entry

88.9¢ → 93.7¢

+5% since entry · 2 traders

Smart Money Signal

2 of 3 top traders (67%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes6%

No94%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No2 traders

Total Value$8.2K

Total Shares8,602

Combined PnL+$585.87

Yes1 trader

Total Value$534.68

Total Shares8,420

Combined PnL-$368.14

No — 67%Yes — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
ST Stonktrader	Noavg 86¢	$4.0K	$4.5K	+$459.28	74% 121-43 (164)
Seutervoinen	Noavg 92.5¢	$2.9K	$3.7K	+$126.6	83% 237-49 (286)
SU supersmardCTR	Yesavg 7.2¢	$382.43	$534.68	-$368.14	39% 41-63 (104)

Stonktrader

Invested

$4,031.51

Value

$4.5K

PnL

+$459.28

Record

74%

121-43 (164)

Seutervoinen

Invested

$2,940.44

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$126.6

Record

83%

237-49 (286)

supersmardCTR

Yes

Invested

$382.43

Value

$534.68

PnL

-$368.14

Record

39%

41-63 (104)

Smart Money Signal

2 of 3 top traders (67%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that No wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance94.9%

93.7¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$5.43

Max Loss

-$100.00

105.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.