Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
3 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold No (75%) · No at 96¢ · $12K held · ends Jan 1, 2027
⚡
Medium
No
4
No 75%
$11.9K
$3.3K
68.9¢ → 95.7¢
+39% since entry · 3 traders
Smart Money Signal
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x5F45b60C29d6e4D55c0bFd8dDD39ad45C5e0a77A-1761473032186 | Noavg 57¢ | $4.8K | $8.1K | +$3.3K | 55% 266-221 (487) |
 elmcap2 | Noavg 94¢ | $421.31 | $3.3K | +$64.97 | 89% 1613-199 (1812) |
HI hithitfar | Noavg 96¢ | $461.8 | $460.63 | -$1.16 | 58% 399-290 (689) |
 2B9SCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.5¢ | $3.74 | $10.23 | +$6.5 | 17% 3034-14639 (17673) |
Invested
$4,811.92
Value
$8.1K
PnL
+$3.3K
Record
55%
266-221 (487)
elmcap2Invested
$421.31
Value
$3.3K
PnL
+$64.97
Record
89%
1613-199 (1812)
Invested
$461.8
Value
$460.63
PnL
-$1.16
Record
58%
399-290 (689)
2B9SCTR<$100Invested
$3.74
Value
$10.23
PnL
+$6.5
Record
17%
3034-14639 (17673)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
95.7¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.