Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?

3 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold No (75%) · No at 90¢ · $3K held · ends Jan 1, 2027

Yes10¢No90¢Ends Fri, Jan 1, 2027View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Consensus Traders

No 75%

Total Value

$3.5K

Combined PnL

$1.2K

Smart Money Entry

86.3¢ → 90¢

+4% since entry · 2 traders

Smart Money Signal

3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes10%

No90%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No3 traders

Total Value$3.5K

Total Shares3,874

Combined PnL+$1.2K

Yes1 trader

Total Value$0.79

Total Shares9

Combined PnL-$4.51

No — 75%Yes — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
MA MaxEnt	Noavg 90¢	$61.48	$3.3K	+$1.0K	40% 23-34 (57)
XieGuangKun	Noavg 27¢	$60.75	$202.5	+$146.25	51% 364-348 (712)
HI hithitfar<$100	No	$23.98	$23.98	+$2.62	58% 399-290 (689)
EW eweeewCTR<$100	Yesavg 57¢	$5.3	$0.79	-$4.51	93% 64-5 (69)

MaxEnt

Invested

$61.48

Value

$3.3K

PnL

+$1.0K

Record

40%

23-34 (57)

XieGuangKun

Invested

$60.75

Value

$202.5

PnL

+$146.25

Record

51%

364-348 (712)

hithitfar<$100

Invested

$23.98

Value

$23.98

PnL

+$2.62

Record

58%

399-290 (689)

eweeewCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$5.3

Value

$0.79

PnL

-$4.51

Record

93%

64-5 (69)

Smart Money Signal

3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that No wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance91.6%

90.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$9.20

Max Loss

-$100.00

109.2

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.