Smart money holds the underdog side
Most tracked traders hold Buccaneers, while the market favors Panthers (59%). 3 of 4 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.
Buccaneers vs. Panthers
3 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold Buccaneers (75%) · Buccaneers at 42¢ · $7K held · ends Oct 25
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Contrarian
Buccaneers
4
Buccaneers 75%
$7.4K
$189.76
39.9¢ → 41.5¢
+4% since entry · 3 traders
Smart Money Signal
3 of 4 top traders (75%)Underdog side (market favors Panthers 59%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Buccaneersavg 40¢ | $5.2K | $5.4K | +$193.43 | 55% 11679-9574 (21253) |
 VeryLucky888 | Panthersavg 59¢ | $2.0K | $1.9K | -$16.5 | 58% 31291-22609 (53900) |
SL slimjoeCTR | Buccaneersavg 37¢ | $105.08 | $117.86 | +$12.78 | 52% 5316-4922 (10238) |
DA darkumbreon88CTR<$100 | Buccaneersavg 38¢ | $0.61 | $0.67 | +$0.06 | 65% 1519-811 (2330) |
Invested
$5,158
Value
$5.4K
PnL
+$193.43
Record
55%
11679-9574 (21253)
VeryLucky888Invested
$1,963.96
Value
$1.9K
PnL
-$16.5
Record
58%
31291-22609 (53900)
Invested
$105.08
Value
$117.86
PnL
+$12.78
Record
52%
5316-4922 (10238)
Invested
$0.61
Value
$0.67
PnL
+$0.06
Record
65%
1519-811 (2330)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
41.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.