
Spread: Saints (-3.5)
5 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Steelers (83%) · Steelers at 71¢ · $60K held · ends Oct 25
⚡
Medium
Steelers
6
Steelers 83%
$59.7K
$50.99
71.6¢ → 70.5¢
-2% since entry · 5 traders
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Signal Intelligence
Momentum
Flat
+0 pts consensus
Breadth
5 traders
Top 2 hold 91%
Freshness
Fresh
0h old
Late Entry
Medium
Score 40/100
Flip Quality
Clean
0 consensus flips
83% of non-arb traders are on Steelers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 91% of that side's value.
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazard | Steelersavg 71.6¢ | $37.9K | $37.8K | -$59.29 | 55% 11679-9574 (21253) |
![]() VeryLucky888 | Steelersavg 71.7¢ | $10.8K | $10.7K | -$25 | 58% 31291-22609 (53900) |
TA takeormakeCTR | Saintsavg 28¢ | $6.2K | $6.4K | +$111.6 | 55% 2890-2386 (5276) |
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542 | Steelersavg 71¢ | $3.1K | $3.1K | +$21.63 | 47% 1949-2172 (4121) |
PL pltrkr111 | Steelersavg 71¢ | $1,000 | $1.0K | +$7.04 | 55% 665-553 (1218) |
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989 | Steelersavg 72¢ | $720 | $715 | -$5 | 69% 4193-1893 (6086) |
Invested
$37,857.67
Value
$37.8K
PnL
-$59.29
Record
55%
11679-9574 (21253)
VeryLucky888Invested
$10,750
Value
$10.7K
PnL
-$25
Record
58%
31291-22609 (53900)
Invested
$6,249.87
Value
$6.4K
PnL
+$111.6
Record
55%
2890-2386 (5276)
Invested
$3,071.72
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$21.63
Record
47%
1949-2172 (4121)
Invested
$1,000
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$7.04
Record
55%
665-553 (1218)
Invested
$720
Value
$715
PnL
-$5
Record
69%
4193-1893 (6086)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
70.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.