PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Spread: Saints (-3.5)

5 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Steelers (83%) · Steelers at 71¢ · $60K held · ends Oct 25

Saints30¢Steelers70¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket
SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Steelers

Consensus Traders

6

Steelers 83%

Total Value

$59.7K

Combined PnL

$50.99

Smart Money Entry

71.6¢ → 70.5¢

-2% since entry · 5 traders

Smart Money Signal

Steelers

5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Saints30%
Steelers71%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Steelers5 traders
Total Value$53.3K
Total Shares74,599
Combined PnL-$60.62
Saints1 trader
Total Value$6.4K
Total Shares22,321
Combined PnL+$111.6
Steelers — 83%Saints — 17%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 91%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 40/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

83% of non-arb traders are on Steelers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 91% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians
whaleSteelers 50% · 2
Aligned
sharpSteelers 100% · 2
Aligned
ctrSteelers 75% · 4
Aligned
Hand-pickedSteelers 100% · 1
Aligned
Top 1000Steelers 80% · 5
Aligned

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance72.5%

70.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$37.90
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
137.9

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xd9dc37f8...b4ebbb
Slug
nfl-pit-no-2026-10-25-spread-home-3pt5
Trade on Polymarket