Smart money holds the underdog side
Most tracked traders hold Giants, while the market favors Texans (55%). 2 of 3 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.
Spread: Texans (-9.5)
2 of 3 top Polymarket traders hold Giants (67%) · Giants at 45¢ · $16K held · ends Oct 25
🔄
Contrarian
Giants
3
Giants 67%
$15.9K
-$263.87
49.7¢ → 45¢
-10% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
2 of 3 top traders (67%)Underdog side (market favors Texans 55%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MO monkeymashingkeyboard | Texansavg 50.5¢ | $6.8K | $7.4K | +$537.31 | 54% 532-450 (982) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Giantsavg 50¢ | $7.8K | $7.1K | -$705.95 | 59% 13706-9524 (23230) |
DA darkumbreon88CTR | Giantsavg 48.5¢ | $1.6K | $1.4K | -$95.23 | 65% 1519-811 (2330) |
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
45.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.