Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
4 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold Chiefs (100%) · Chiefs at 74¢ · $51K held · ends Oct 26
⚡
Medium
Chiefs
4
Chiefs 100%
$50.9K
$241.04
73.2¢ → 73.5¢
+0% since entry · 4 traders
Smart Money Signal
4 of 4 top traders (100%)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazard | Chiefsavg 72.9¢ | $20.7K | $20.9K | +$166.81 | 55% 11679-9574 (21253) |
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542 | Chiefsavg 73.5¢ | $15.8K | $15.8K | +$7.77 | 47% 1949-2172 (4121) |
 VeryLucky888 | Chiefsavg 73.2¢ | $11.0K | $11.0K | +$45 | 58% 31291-22609 (53900) |
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3 | Chiefsavg 73¢ | $3.1K | $3.2K | +$21.46 | 50% 1764-1773 (3537) |
Invested
$20,744.41
Value
$20.9K
PnL
+$166.81
Record
55%
11679-9574 (21253)
Invested
$15,833.78
Value
$15.8K
PnL
+$7.77
Record
47%
1949-2172 (4121)
VeryLucky888Invested
$10,980
Value
$11.0K
PnL
+$45
Record
58%
31291-22609 (53900)
Invested
$3,133.4
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$21.46
Record
50%
1764-1773 (3537)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
73.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.