Spread: Cardinals (-3.5)

6 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold Broncos (86%) · Broncos at 80¢ · $35K held · ends Oct 25

Cardinals21¢Broncos79¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Broncos

Consensus Traders

Broncos 86%

Total Value

$35.0K

Combined PnL

-$55.37

Smart Money Entry

80¢ → 79.5¢

-1% since entry · 6 traders

Smart Money Signal

Broncos

6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Cardinals21%

Broncos80%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Broncos6 traders

Total Value$34.1K

Total Shares42,573

Combined PnL-$55.37

Cardinals1 trader

Total Value$971.2

Total Shares4,856

Combined PnL+$0

Broncos — 86%Cardinals — 14%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 65%

Freshness

Fresh

3h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 30/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

86% of non-arb traders are on Broncos. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 65% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpBroncos 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrBroncos 75% · 4

Aligned

Hand-pickedBroncos 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Broncos 80% · 5

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542	Broncosavg 80¢	$12.0K	$12.0K	-$0	47% 1949-2172 (4121)
VeryLucky888	Broncosavg 80¢	$10.1K	$10.1K	-$0	58% 31291-22609 (53900)
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3	Broncosavg 80¢	$9.9K	$9.9K	-$61.62	50% 1764-1773 (3537)
PL pltrkr111	Broncosavg 80¢	$1.0K	$1,000	+$6.25	55% 665-553 (1218)
FO Forecastication2CTR	Cardinalsavg 20¢	$971.2	$971.2	+$0	61% 4327-2785 (7112)
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989	Broncosavg 80¢	$800	$800	-$0	69% 4193-1893 (6086)
SL slimjoe	Broncosavg 80¢	$300	$300	+$0	52% 5316-4922 (10238)

0xfB07F48542d2b655e9D0Bf1cC92a8a6Feee8e2cC-1782415802542

Broncos

Invested

$12,000

Value

$12.0K

PnL

-$0

Record

47%

1949-2172 (4121)

VeryLucky888

Broncos

Invested

$10,099.58

Value

$10.1K

PnL

-$0

Record

58%

31291-22609 (53900)

0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3

Broncos

Invested

$9,859.09

Value

$9.9K

PnL

-$61.62

Record

50%

1764-1773 (3537)

pltrkr111

Broncos

Invested

$1,000

Value

$1,000

PnL

+$6.25

Record

55%

665-553 (1218)

Forecastication2CTR

Cardinals

Invested

$971.2

Value

$971.2

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

4327-2785 (7112)

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989

Broncos

Invested

$800

Value

$800

PnL

-$0

Record

69%

4193-1893 (6086)

slimjoe

Broncos

Invested

$300

Value

$300

PnL

+$0

Record

52%

5316-4922 (10238)

Smart Money Signal

Broncos

6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

6 traders

Top 2 hold 65%

Freshness

Fresh

3h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 30/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

86% of non-arb traders are on Broncos. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 65% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpBroncos 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrBroncos 75% · 4

Aligned

Hand-pickedBroncos 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Broncos 80% · 5

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Broncos wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance81.3%

79.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.8¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$23.02

Max Loss

-$100.00

123.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.