Smart money holds the underdog side
Most tracked traders hold Under, while the market favors Over (52%). 2 of 2 traders hold an outcome priced under 50%.
Browns vs. Titans: O/U 36.5
2 of 2 top Polymarket traders hold Under (100%) · Under at 48¢ · $16K held · ends Oct 25
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Contrarian
Under
2
Under 100%
$16.4K
$679.87
46.5¢ → 48.5¢
+4% since entry · 2 traders
Smart Money Signal
2 of 2 top traders (100%)Underdog side (market favors Over 52%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Underavg 46¢ | $8.0K | $8.4K | +$432.93 | 55% 11679-9574 (21253) |
PW PwaddlerCTR | Underavg 47¢ | $7.7K | $8.0K | +$246.94 | 48% 378-413 (791) |
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
48.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.