Spread: Knicks (-8.5)

2 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold Magic (50%) · Magic at 55¢ · $813 held · ends Oct 25

Knicks45¢Magic55¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

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Weak

Magic

Consensus Traders

Magic 50%

Total Value

$812.78

Combined PnL

$13.74

Smart Money Entry

52¢ → 55¢

+6% since entry · 2 traders

Smart Money Signal

Magic

2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Knicks45%

Magic55%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Magic2 traders

Total Value$550.8

Total Shares1,020

Combined PnL+$20

Knicks2 traders

Total Value$261.98

Total Shares582

Combined PnL-$6.26

Magic — 50%Knicks — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989	Magicavg 52¢	$520	$540	+$20	69% 4193-1893 (6086)
VeryLucky888CTR	Knicksavg 46¢	$241.33	$236.33	-$5	58% 31291-22609 (53900)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Knicksavg 47.2¢	$26.91	$25.65	-$1.26	54% 13611-11436 (25047)
0xheavy888<$100	Magicavg 51¢	$10.2	$10.8	+$0	55% 6288-5054 (11342)

0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989

Magic

Invested

$520

Value

$540

PnL

+$20

Record

69%

4193-1893 (6086)

VeryLucky888CTR

Knicks

Invested

$241.33

Value

$236.33

PnL

-$5

Record

58%

31291-22609 (53900)

LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100

Knicks

Invested

$26.91

Value

$25.65

PnL

-$1.26

Record

54%

13611-11436 (25047)

0xheavy888<$100

Magic

Invested

$10.2

Value

$10.8

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

6288-5054 (11342)

Smart Money Signal

Magic

2 of 4 top traders (50%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Magic wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance57.2%

55.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$74.73

Max Loss

-$100.00

174.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.