Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)

5 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Pelicans (63%) · Pelicans at 99¢ · $94K held · ended Oct 25

Nuggets<1¢Pelicans>99¢Ended Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Pelicans

Consensus Traders

Pelicans 63%

Total Value

$94.1K

Combined PnL

$12.2K

Smart Money Entry

54.3¢ → 99.1¢

+82% since entry · 5 traders

Smart Money Signal

Pelicans

5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Nuggets1%

Pelicans99%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Pelicans5 traders

Total Value$75.2K

Total Shares84,784

Combined PnL+$29.1K

Nuggets3 traders

Total Value$18.9K

Total Shares78,008

Combined PnL$-16.9K

Pelicans — 63%Nuggets — 37%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

-4 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 97%

Freshness

Fresh

2h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 55/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

63% of non-arb traders are on Pelicans. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 97% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whalePelicans 50% · 4

Aligned

sharpPelicans 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrNuggets 50% · 6

Diverging

Hand-pickedPelicans 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Pelicans 57% · 7

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO HomeRunHazard	Pelicansavg 54.4¢	$35.7K	$64.2K	+$28.5K	55% 11295-9229 (20524)
VP VPenguinCTR	Nuggetsavg 46¢	$21.0K	$18.3K	$-2.7K	44% 747-945 (1692)
SU SunlineTicker	Pelicansavg 54¢	$8.2K	$8.7K	+$455.66	68% 3463-1643 (5106)
VeryLucky888	Pelicansavg 54¢	$2.2K	$2.3K	+$120.47	58% 31054-22396 (53450)
OL olegioCTR	Nuggetsavg 46.6¢	$8.6K	$360.7	$-8.3K	44% 394-506 (900)
BB bbb17367162806CTR	Nuggetsavg 45¢	$6.2K	$283.61	$-5.9K	49% 96-98 (194)
HRTrading<$100	Pelicansavg 56¢	$63.75	$62.51	+$26.81	60% 1146-775 (1921)
AN Anon455<$100	Pelicansavg 52¢	$1.63	$3.06	+$1.44	56% 1840-1464 (3304)

HomeRunHazard

Pelicans

Invested

$35,673.08

Value

$64.2K

PnL

+$28.5K

Record

55%

11295-9229 (20524)

VPenguinCTR

Nuggets

Invested

$21,010.96

Value

$18.3K

PnL

$-2.7K

Record

44%

747-945 (1692)

SunlineTicker

Pelicans

Invested

$8,201.9

Value

$8.7K

PnL

+$455.66

Record

68%

3463-1643 (5106)

VeryLucky888

Pelicans

Invested

$2,185.25

Value

$2.3K

PnL

+$120.47

Record

58%

31054-22396 (53450)

olegioCTR

Nuggets

Invested

$8,618.71

Value

$360.7

PnL

$-8.3K

Record

44%

394-506 (900)

bbb17367162806CTR

Nuggets

Invested

$6,225.6

Value

$283.61

PnL

$-5.9K

Record

49%

96-98 (194)

HRTrading<$100

Pelicans

Invested

$63.75

Value

$62.51

PnL

+$26.81

Record

60%

1146-775 (1921)

Anon455<$100

Pelicans

Invested

$1.63

Value

$3.06

PnL

+$1.44

Record

56%

1840-1464 (3304)

Smart Money Signal

Pelicans

5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

-4 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 97%

Freshness

Fresh

2h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 55/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

63% of non-arb traders are on Pelicans. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 97% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whalePelicans 50% · 4

Aligned

sharpPelicans 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrNuggets 50% · 6

Diverging

Hand-pickedPelicans 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Pelicans 57% · 7

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Pelicans wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.1¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.