Spread: Rockets (-6.5)

Resolved Rockets. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Hawks. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

Hawks 60%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

-$399.94

Hawks

4 of 8 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Rockets100%

Hawks0%

Rockets4 traders

Total Value$126.73

Total Shares127

Combined PnL+$45.16

Hawks4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares731

Combined PnL-$445.1

Rockets — 50%Hawks — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
TA takeormakeARB<$100	Rocketsavg 65.6¢	$772.39	$968.46	+$196.08	55% 2836-2349 (5185)
└ Rockets leg	Rocketsavg 65.6¢	$635.51	$968.46	+$516.96
└ Hawks leg	Hawksavg 18¢	$320.89	—	-$320.89
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100	Hawksavg 50¢	$377.3	$137.54	-$239.77	46% 251-289 (540)
└ Rockets leg	Rocketsavg 46.9¢	$64.53	$137.54	+$73
└ Hawks leg	Hawksavg 50¢	$312.77	—	-$312.77
HRTrading<$100	Rocketsavg 74¢	$43.07	$73	+$29.93	60% 1146-775 (1921)
AN Anon455CTR	Hawksavg 69¢	$328.26	—	-$328.26	56% 1840-1464 (3304)
SU SunlineTickerCTR<$100	Hawksavg 65¢	$68.25	—	-$68.25	68% 3463-1643 (5106)
US User7429<$100	Rocketsavg 71.7¢	$38.5	$53.73	+$15.23	57% 5699-4304 (10003)
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100	Hawksavg 32.4¢	$48.59	—	-$48.59	53% 6109-5458 (11567)
HO HomeRunHazard<$100	Rocketsavg 43.8¢	—	—	+$0	55% 11295-9229 (20524)
NE neymar1<$100	Rocketsavg 34¢	—	—	+$0	33% 299-607 (906)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Hawksavg 66.6¢	—	—	+$0	54% 13405-11284 (24689)