Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 224.5

4 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Over (50%) · Over at 55¢ · $52K held · ended Oct 25

Over55¢Under45¢Ended Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Over

Consensus Traders

Over 50%

Total Value

$51.7K

Combined PnL

$5.8K

Smart Money Entry

51.7¢ → 55¢

+6% since entry · 4 traders

Smart Money Signal

Over

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over55%

Under45%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Under4 traders

Total Value$32.9K

Total Shares45,160

Combined PnL+$11.2K

Over4 traders

Total Value$18.8K

Total Shares46,516

Combined PnL$-5.4K

Under — 50%Over — 50%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Low

Score 10/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

40% of non-arb traders are on Over. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleOver 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrUnder 60% · 5

Diverging

Hand-pickedUnder 100% · 2

Diverging

Top 1000Under 50% · 4

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
KA KaneAnalyticsCTR	Underavg 48¢	$44.8K	$32.7K	+$11.2K	52% 301-277 (578)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Overavg 51.9¢	$23.8K	$18.5K	$-5.4K	46% 251-289 (540)
TA takeormake	Overavg 37.8¢	$150.84	$159.6	+$8.76	55% 2836-2349 (5185)
VeryLucky888CTR	Underavg 56¢	$140	$137.5	+$1.25	58% 31054-22396 (53450)
JU justaluckydude	Overavg 44.7¢	$132.28	$118.4	-$13.88	53% 6109-5458 (11567)
HI hithitfarCTR<$100	Underavg 56¢	$53.2	$71.25	+$18.05	58% 399-289 (688)
NA NatoAlfista<$100	Overavg 44¢	$72.16	$65.6	-$0.82	65% 2610-1401 (4011)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Underavg 55¢	$3.13	$3.41	+$0.28	60% 1146-775 (1921)

KaneAnalyticsCTR

Under

Invested

$44,809.14

Value

$32.7K

PnL

+$11.2K

Record

52%

301-277 (578)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Over

Invested

$23,842.94

Value

$18.5K

PnL

$-5.4K

Record

46%

251-289 (540)

takeormake

Over

Invested

$150.84

Value

$159.6

PnL

+$8.76

Record

55%

2836-2349 (5185)

VeryLucky888CTR

Under

Invested

$140

Value

$137.5

PnL

+$1.25

Record

58%

31054-22396 (53450)

justaluckydude

Over

Invested

$132.28

Value

$118.4

PnL

-$13.88

Record

53%

6109-5458 (11567)

hithitfarCTR<$100

Under

Invested

$53.2

Value

$71.25

PnL

+$18.05

Record

58%

399-289 (688)

NatoAlfista<$100

Over

Invested

$72.16

Value

$65.6

PnL

-$0.82

Record

65%

2610-1401 (4011)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Under

Invested

$3.13

Value

$3.41

PnL

+$0.28

Record

60%

1146-775 (1921)

Smart Money Signal

Over

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Late Entry

Low

Score 10/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

40% of non-arb traders are on Over. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleOver 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrUnder 60% · 5

Diverging

Hand-pickedUnder 100% · 2

Diverging

Top 1000Under 50% · 4

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Over wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance57.2%

55.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$74.73

Max Loss

-$100.00

174.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.