Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Suns — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Suns
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
Resolved Suns. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Suns. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
5
Suns 100%
2 arb excluded
$1.9K
$22.75
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100 | Warriorsavg 50.6¢ | $3.2K | $1.2K | $-2.4K | 46% 270-322 (592) |
| └ Warriors leg | Warriorsavg 50.6¢ | $2.7K | — | $-3.1K | |
| └ Suns leg | Sunsavg 52.3¢ | $646.5 | $1.2K | +$701.16 | |
TA takeormakeARB<$100 | Warriorsavg 37.9¢ | $788.19 | $608.05 | -$287.78 | 55% 2890-2386 (5276) |
| └ Suns leg | Sunsavg 65.1¢ | $396.02 | $608.05 | +$267.5 | |
| └ Warriors leg | Warriorsavg 37.9¢ | $447.64 | — | -$555.28 | |
 HRTrading<$100 | Sunsavg 53¢ | $17.55 | $40 | +$22.45 | 58% 1251-901 (2152) |
AJ AJSV<$100 | Sunsavg 94¢ | $4.7 | $5 | +$0.3 | 36% 12736-22337 (35073) |
JI jiafan<$100 | Sunsavg 66¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 1293-819 (2112) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR<$100 | Warriorsavg 49¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6396-5735 (12131) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR<$100 | Warriorsavg 44.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 55% 11679-9574 (21253) |
Invested
$3,192.1
Value
$1.2K
PnL
$-2.4K
Record
46%
270-322 (592)
Both legs:
Invested
$788.19
Value
$608.05
PnL
-$287.78
Record
55%
2890-2386 (5276)
Both legs:
HRTrading<$100Invested
$17.55
Value
$40
PnL
+$22.45
Record
58%
1251-901 (2152)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.3
Record
36%
12736-22337 (35073)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
1293-819 (2112)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6396-5735 (12131)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
11679-9574 (21253)
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