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UnderUnderOverUnderOver
VeryLucky888<$100Over
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Sporting Kansas City vs. Austin FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$211.35
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,088
Combined PnL-$209.96
Over3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL-$1.39
Under — 50%Over — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO fooooolCTR<$100 | Underavg 17¢ | $99.96 | — | -$99.96 | 51% 6306-6055 (12361) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR | Underavg 22¢ | $110 | — | -$110 | 68% 30341-14586 (44927) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Overavg 84.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 15933-14459 (30392) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 15¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 8543-8531 (17074) |
NO NordhavenCap | Overavg 83.3¢ | $564.2 | — | -$1.39 | 59% 1627-1154 (2781) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Overavg 81.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 30927-22305 (53232) |
FO
fooooolCTR<$100Invested
$99.96
Value
—
PnL
-$99.96
Record
51%
6306-6055 (12361)
UP
UpTheBluesCTRInvested
$110
Value
—
PnL
-$110
Record
68%
30341-14586 (44927)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
15933-14459 (30392)
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
8543-8531 (17074)
NO
NordhavenCapInvested
$564.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.39
Record
59%
1627-1154 (2781)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
30927-22305 (53232)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0f3c0af1...dab50e
Slug
mls-skc-aus-2026-10-24-total-1pt5